An eminent betrayal

The man who was once Putin's shadow, the war chef of the Wagner group, now seems to be in the midst of public insubordination, could it be that the kremlin elite group has betrayed Putin, could it be that Putin the man who has dominated Russian politics for more than two decades is losing its most loyal soldiers.

Russia has even confirmed that its forces had to withdraw, even the head of the Wagner group, the same one who has always fought Russia's battles, admitted it, but perhaps Putin has lost his military midas touch, why are these elite soldiers revolting? .

Wagner, the elite Wagner group Also known as the Wagner private military company, it is a private Russian military entity but, it is not just any private entity, imagine a group of highly trained, efficient and deadly soldiers executing operations in areas of the world where even the governments fear to intervene.

The name of the wagners comes from its alias of its founder Dimitri udkin, a former commander of the Russian special forces who is a fan of Richard Wagner's music, even in the veil of secrecy it is rumored that this group has close ties to the service of Russian military intelligence, the GRU and the Wagner group are estimated to number several thousand operators, although the exact number is very difficult to determine due to their highly secret nature.

Many of them are veterans of the Russian army and others are mercenaries of various origins, but they all have one thing in common, a very high level of training and battlefield experience, officially Putin and the Russian government have denied any connection to the group, But as intelligence reports and defector testimony paint a very different picture, the Wagner group is a tool used by the Kremlin to attack its geopolitical targets on the battlefield, without having to officially engage its own navies.

Add to that it seems that Prigozhin, Putin's Eternally Loyal Friend, now seems to be biting the hand that fed him, has publicly criticized Russian generals and revealed secret Russian war strategies and the Ministry of Defense has also criticized him for sabotage, he says, their operations.

Add to that it seems that Prigozhin, Putin's Eternally Loyal Friend, now seems to be biting the hand that fed him, has publicly criticized Russian generals and revealed secret Russian war strategies and the Ministry of Defense has also criticized him for sabotage, he says, their operations.

He has also threatened to withdraw his men from Ukraine and there are even rumors that he has been in contact with Ukrainian intelligence offering information on the positions of Russian troops.

Why is a man so close to the Kremlin discussing Russian military information in public, exposing the Kremlin, is Prigozhin betraying Putin, is it because of a lack of military supplies, is he desperate, or is there something else.

This could be a Trojan horse that is deployed to change the course of the game without the opponent realizing it, Prigozhin's strategy could be as follows; sow the seeds of doubt and the seemingly out-of-control Wagner group could be acting against Putin's interests.

If Ukraine and indeed the world begin to believe that Wagner might indeed be betraying Russia, this could lead to a reassessment of the overall strategy towards the conflict in Ukraine and this could also create opportunities for Russia to gain advantages, either diplomatically or on the battlefield.

While the world is distracted by the videos that he posts to his Telegram group and with the possibility of a betrayal by the war chef of Vladimir Putin, for example, if Ukraine begins to believe that the Wagner group could change loyalties and leave side to the Ukrainian side could then establish contacts with them and could try to buy their loyalty Or at least sow discord between them and Russia while Ukraine deals with this Russia could use the opportunity to strengthen its own positions, mobilize or even launch offensive.

But be careful because if this disinformation strategy were to come true, an attempted betrayal by Prigozhin, the implications for Putin and Russia are profound, a betrayal by the Wagner friends group would mean the loss of the strategic resource of one of the most important for the Kremlin, such as we have mentioned the Wagner group allows Russia to intervene in foreign conflicts without being able to commit its own military forces, if Wagner changed loyalties Russia would lose that advantage and would have to put its elite military on the war front, this could weaken its position in the Ukraine and potentially in other places where the Wagners are now active.

And beyond strategic and military considerations, a Wagner group tradition would also be a very heavy blow to Putin's image both internally and externally.