$HIVE, $BTC & ETH/BTC Technical Analysis - 05.07.2026

It's Sunday again, so let's do what I always do on Sunday. Today's analysis is important as we had the monthly candle close this week, the Q2 close and 6 months candle close as well. So let's get to it, shall we?

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On the monthly time frame, $HIVE closed June with a bearish engulfing candle, engulfing both previous monthly candles, as I mentioned in my previous report it would. Not something you want to see if you're bullish, or want to be bullish, but technical analysis is not about what you want, so we focus on what the chart gives us.

With last month's candle close, the bearish order block was set as well. At the time of writing, $HIVE is trading slightly above the monthly open. Levels to watch on this time frame are $0.0988 on the upside and ATL at $0.0327, but there's a long way till the current candle close.

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On the weekly time frame, last week we got a bullish candle, a bullish engulfing candle actually and at the time of writing, $HIVE is trading slightly below the weekly open. There are still around 14 hours to go till the candle close though. There's a huge chance nothing major will happen till the candle close, but in case it will, levels to watch are $0.0453, in case we get more weakness and $0.0988 on the upside, in case someone decides to buy heavily.

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On the daily time frame, price is still consolidating, or going sideways, whichever expression you prefer. The bearish gap that was rebalanced on the 10th of last month is still capping the market. Levels to watch here are $0.0453 on the downside, if we get more weakness and $0.062, if we can get some bullish momentum.

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On a more granular scale, on the h4 time frame, price is writing something we call boring price action. Has been going sideways, and at the time of writing, it is just about to retest the bullish gap, marked with green on my chart. If the gap holds and we get a bounce, there's a chance for price to sweep $0.0541. If the gap can't defend price, we could see price revisit and sweep $0.047.

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$BTC is trying its best to go higher. We got a local low for now at $58,042. I'd like to see price reach and hold $66,334, then print a higher high, but we'll see.

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The ETH/BTC pair had a nice move to the upside this week, making nice progress. The gap that last week was still holding the pair hostage was inverted, finally. Price is below mid-range, which is resistance as well as have a high slightly above at 0.02872. If we sweep that high, after I'm expecting a retest of one or both bullish gaps, but we'll see.

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The upcoming week brings us two red folder days, one of which has FOMC meeting minutes scheduled. It's not a lot, but keep in mind that the economic calendar is not the only factor to influence the market.

Remember, technical analysis is not about forecasting price, but about reacting to what price does.

As always, this is a game of probabilities, not certainties. Also please note, this is not financial advice, it's my view and understanding of the market.

Do your own research, make your own decisions as you're taking the risk.

All charts posted here are screenshots from Tradinview.

Come trade with me on Bybit.

If you're a newbie, you may want to check out these guides:


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(Edited)

Good luck with the Sunday (mine is gone) - on Monday already LOL.

I wish it were more for me to take some more HIVE... I will be keeping a look at the Magi pool to take Hive from the ones that don't yet know about it.

Geezzz, Monday for me, even if fresh... what a breath of fresh air. Realllyy 😍😎🤣

Will be watching #F1

Been a hell of a weekend... see you around.

I will curate tomorrow... too busy with F1 right now...

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Holy heaven, you're in the future then 😆

We are accumulating Hive any way we can, isn't it? 😉

Enjoy F1. I'm not a fan, used to be once, but not anymore.

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Curious where you see HIVE's price heading if BTC breaks below its current support — do you think it decouples at all or just drags along?

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I don't make predictions, but if BTC goes to $49k, HIVE is going to react as well and go lower, for sure. Maybe sweep ATL. No one knows.

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Great post! Technical analysis isn't used to predict the future, but to prepare for different possible scenarios. I believe this is one of the most important aspects for those new to trading. Following key levels and managing risk methodically is probably much more effective than trying to predict every market movement. As for BTC, I think this is the bottom.

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Thank you.

Well, new users want only one thing, which is to know for sure what's going to happen. They don't understand that no one knows and this is a probability game.

You have to study and test a lot, which is hard work no one wants to waste time on. This is why so many are just exit liquidity.

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This is a very interesting point of view about the market. I am a Nigerian marketer and am just getting to know this space, and I look forward to reading more of your content!

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😀👋 📈📉📊

Hello @erikah friend!... Thank you for your weekly analysis!!!... Have a great week!

!discovery

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@erikah, siempre interesante leer análisis crypto con fundamento. Espero más contenido así, con datos y sin humo. 8.0 dólares de payout, bien merecido la verdad.

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Great update on BTC and the ETH/BTC pair. Thanks for the clear levels!

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