$HIVE, $BTC & ETH/BTC Technical Analysis - 30.11.2025

It's Sunday again, so let's see what out assets have been doing during the week and how can we react to what's likely to happen next week.

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Today is the last day of the month, so we're going to have the monthly candle close in a few hours, 14 to be precise. So far, price action is still bearish, we have a bearish candle with an upper shadow longer than the lower shadow (wick) and if the candle closes like this (again, candle close is happening at the end of the day), we're going to have a bearish gap, which is marked on the chart. Once this candle closes, it's going to confirm ATL at $0.0327 as swing low. But again, both the fair value gap (FVG) and the swing low will only be confirmed after the candle close.

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On the weekly time frame, price is still bearish. The current weekly candle closes in a little over 14 hours. So far we have a bullish candle, but the body of the candle is not long enough to be a bullish engulfing candle, this can change till the end of the day though.

After the current candle close and if it closes above $0.0969, we can consider this level as swing low. Levels to watch here are $0.0969 on the downside and $0.1429 on the upside, if we get some momentum today, which is highly unlikely as it's Sunday and traditional markets are closed.

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The daily time frame chart, although still bearish, looks a bit better. This week price has managed to close above and invert last week's bearish gap, which should act as support and should defend price. As I said, we got a reversal and a nice move to the upside, but price failed to set a new, bullish order bloc (OB). The top of the FVGi is mid-range too, so I can see price retesting that level as a healthy action, as long as we get a bounce from there.

In case of more weakness, price could sweep $0.1011 or even go as low as $0.0969. In case we get a bounce here, or from mid-range, the next high I'd be keeping an eye on is $0.1155, which is inside a bearish gap and we call it intermediate high. That level is acting now as resistance, so there's a possibility we get a rejection there, If not, and price manages to close above the gap and hold, the next swing high is at $0.1429.

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On the h4 time frame chart, price is now delivering from a bearish order block, swept an old low and looks like it's heading towards the equal lows (EQL) at $0.1073. In case we don't get a bounce at around $0.1073, retesting the bullish gap around mid-range is next. That gap has to hold if we want bullish continuation. If, by any chance we get some momentum, I'd be looking at $0.1127 to be swept, after which the two bearish gaps are next, as resistance.

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BTC had a nice bounce off the 0.786 level last week.

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Zooming in, you can see price created a bullish gap this week and holding above it for now. I can see two possible scenarios here, besides price accumulating at the level, which are:

  • price retests the gap and the OB (maybe mid-range too) and bounces,
  • in case we get some momentum, we sweep $93,081 and then the bearish gap could be next.

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ETH/BTC chart kind of looks the same, price is consolidating in this range. At the time of writing, there's a bullish gap holding price. In case the gap can't defend price anymore, the equal low at 0.03209 is the next level to keep an eye on. On the upside, I'd watch 0.03397 and ultimately 0.034419.

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As far as the economic calendar is concerned, next week we have four red folder days, so I'd be ready for volatility, but remember, volatility should be your friend, not your enemy.

Remember, technical analysis is not about forecasting price, but about reacting to what price does.

As always, this is a game of probabilities, not certainties. Also please note, this is not financial advice, it's my view and understanding of the market.

All charts posted here are screenshots from Tradinview.

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