š Market Master Results: Week 13 (Round 1)

The first round of our AI prediction experiment is in the books! The Premier League lived up to its reputation for unpredictability this week, giving our Market Master model a challenging debut.
While we nailed some solid calls like Man City, Liverpool, and Brentford, a few shock results (looking at you, Tottenham and Everton š) kept us from the green.
š The Breakdown: We achieved a 50% Hit Rate across both 1X2 and O/U markets. While the accuracy was balanced, the odds didn't fall in our favor for the combined tickets, resulting in a net loss for the week.
- 1X2 Hitrate: 50%
- O/U Hitrate: 50%
- Total Profit: -2.02u
š ļø The Strategy:
Trust the Process Rome wasn't built in a day, and neither is a predictive model. We are committed to a strict testing phase. We will run the current algorithm for 4 full Matchweeks to gather a significant sample size before implementing any adjustments or "fine-tuning."
We are staying disciplined and looking forward to Week 14! š§ ā½
š Detailed Recap
ā
Top Correct Calls:
- Man City v Leeds (Home + Over)
- Brentford v Burnley (Home + Over)
- West Ham v Liverpool (Away Win)
ā Key Upsets:
- Tottenham losing to Fulham
- Everton crumbling against Newcastle
- United winning away at Palace
For complete transparency the complete predictions and bets below.
š Market Master Results: round 1: Matchday 13
š Matchweek 13 Details
| Match | Score | 1X2 Pick | Res | O/U Pick | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford v Burnley | 3-1 | Home | ā | Over | ā |
| Man City v Leeds | 3-2 | Home | ā | Over | ā |
| Sunderland v Bournemouth | 3-2 | Home | ā | Over | ā |
| Everton v Newcastle | 1-4 | Draw | ā | Under | ā |
| Tottenham v Fulham | 1-2 | Home | ā | Over | ā |
| Crystal Palace v Man United | 1-2 | Home | ā | Over | ā |
| Aston Villa v Wolves | 1-0 | Home | ā | Over | ā |
| Nott'm Forest v Brighton | 0-2 | Draw | ā | Over | ā |
| West Ham v Liverpool | 0-2 | Away | ā | Over | ā |
| Chelsea v Arsenal | 1-1 | Away | ā | Under | ā |
š Model: Week 13 (1u Flat)
| Model | Hitrate | Profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 50% | -0.96u | -9.6% |
| O/U | 60% | +0.82u | +8.2% |
| TOT | -0.14u |
š History per Week
| Week | 1X2 P/L | O/U P/L | Total P/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | -0.96u | +0.82u | -0.14u |
| TOT | -0.14u |
š° Financial Summary per Week
| Week | 1X2 P/L | O/U P/L | CS P/L | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | -2.20⬠| -1.34⬠| -1.10⬠| -4.64⬠|
| TOT | -2.20⬠| -1.34⬠| -1.10⬠| -4.64⬠|
š« Ticket Overview
ā 1X2 Ticket | Profit: ā¬-2.20
| Match | Selection | Res | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford v Burnley | Home | Won | ā |
| Aston Villa v Wolves | Home | Won | ā |
| West Ham v Liverpool | Away | Won | ā |
| Tottenham v Fulham | Home | Lost | ā |
| Crystal Palace v Man United | Home | Lost | ā |
| Chelsea v Arsenal | Away | Lost | ā |
ā ļø O/U Ticket | Profit: ā¬-1.34
| Match | Selection | Res | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man City v Leeds | Over | Won | ā |
| West Ham v Liverpool | Over | Lost | ā |
| Brentford v Burnley | Over | Won | ā |
| Everton v Newcastle | Under | Lost | ā |
| Chelsea v Arsenal | Under | Won | ā |
| Crystal Palace v Man United | Over | Won | ā |
ā CS Ticket | Profit: ā¬-1.10
| Match | Selection | Res | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man City v Leeds | 3-0 | Lost | ā |
| Everton v Newcastle | 1-1 | Lost | ā |
| Tottenham v Fulham | 2-1 | Lost | ā |
| West Ham v Liverpool | 1-2 | Lost | ā |
š° Total Weekly Net: ā¬-4.64
Disclaimer: Educational experiment. 18+ Only.
Will be back tomorrow with the new predictions, because there is a midweek matchday this week.
Cheers,
Peter
Yikes, not quite as good as I would have guessed. I reckon the upsets are what make sports so fun though.