My pick for today's UFC (March 13, 2021)

Current ROI is negative: -23% (AWFUL)
MMA record keeping started on: Mar 2, 2019
Total units risked so far (always flat 1 unit): 55
Total units won or loss so far: -12.657 units
Current record and negative ROI: (28-23-2), -23% (AWFUL)

Recap of my picks for last week:

I chose Petr Yan to win. He was winning the fight for sure based on points... and then he promptly lost the match by illegally kneeing Aljamain Sterling in the head just seconds after the referee had already warned him not to. Sterling was ruled unable to continue and became the first person to win a UFC championship via disqualification. FML.

I chose Nunes to beat Anderson. She was a massive favorite so no surprise that she finished the fight super fast with an armbar early in the first round.

I chose Israel Adesanya. Fight was closer than the score cards would suggest but a loss is a loss. Basically Blachowicz took down Adesanya in the later rounds and cruised to an unanimous decision win to remain light heavyweight champ.

My pick for tonight's UFC (I only like one fight):

Leon Edwards (1.34) vs Belal Muhammad (3.40)

If this was a 3 round fight, Belal would have a better chance. I think he would still lose, but he would have a better chance. Basically I think Edwards is better on the feet and is hard to take down and/or keep down once taken down. Edwards has a long win streak of 8 fights. People mostly know him for getting punched by Jorge Masvidal outside the octagon but Leon Edwards is a very good fighter with great stand-up striking. Muhammed doesn't have Khabib's legendary wrestling so this fight is probably going to stay standing up. Thinking Leon Edwards takes a five round decision on the judge's score cards.

My pick is the Leon Edwards moneyline.

Fight starts in a few hours...



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