BTC is look set to close October above 78k, (another prediction gone right)

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BTC is currently at $79.9k and it's basically just less than two days before October finally ends, and just like my prediction says BTC will never go below 78k in October, I guess I got another prediction spot on.

I understand that there are less than 48 hours before the end of the month, but there's honestly no way BTC is going below 78k again. I can definitely bet anything on that, but we'll see how that goes.

Trump can go berserk and say something that causes a Sharp crash, the middle east can announce a big uprising, (even though their region has been relatively quiet for a few months now).

However, even with the possibility of an erratic crash happening because of something unexpected, I still stand on the idea that BTC isn't going below 78k, just like I've been saying it for a few weeks, and I said it too, if BTC didn't head back to 58k by the end of October (which is this month) then the market would have bottomed.

Again, this is a testament to the fact that I've been right by saying the market has bottomed, another prediction that I've actually gotten very right. Also, I predicted a bottom of 48 to 52k for BTC, and actually we hit 58k, so probably being right for 80% so, which is still decently good.

The coldest prediction I've been making for two months now has been that April 2028 till December 2028 is the best time to take profit from alts, but if you're into BTC then you'll probably have to wait till Q4 2029, the reason being that alts are tilting towards very short "not so life-changing" windows that gets you a x5 or x10 at Max from all time lows, and another reason being that the dynamics of the market has changed.

A few months ago, I also remember saying October is now the new September, and once again, it looks like I'm right. It's crazy to begin to imagine, and honestly I'm looking at a lot of tendencies and yardstick to measure the market.

Once more I've realized a brutal reality of the market, and God willing I'm going to share it, but will only do it after this cycle, because I'm waiting for a theory.

But one thing I'm going to say or share for a fact is that the market punishes emotional, greedy, overly smart and excessively calculative people. It you've lost money in crypto in the past years, there's a high chance you've once belonged to this category of people and honestly, don't worry about it, you're not the only one.

I've been in that category too, 99% of people in crypto has been there, the best things you can mostly hope for, is the perfect opportunity to actually make amends when you can. The biggest lessons so far is never too too overly positive, look at the market from a realistic and patternic point of view,and you'll see what others aren't actually seeing.

Conclusions

I maintain that 2027 will be a decent year for crypto simply because we will only be consolidating instead of actually dumping and that's what a lot of people have been frustrated about. I think for BTC seeing the price action should give you a bullish vibe.

Even though I think 200 to 270k is the possible price for BTC's top in two years time, I still think that the even bigger bullish sentiment for BTC holders is that the market bottomed earlier, perhaps because of an abysmal performance in the last cycle, who knows, and for alts...... Well, no comments..

Alts will ride the waves and the healthiest and the most solid might see a x20 at Max, and others will see a x5 to x10 at Max, still something. What are your predictions so far, have you picked up any predictions from my post, and you've seen them happening in real-time?



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6 comments
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that point about the market punishing overly calculated people hit close to home lol

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Exactly. It's a baggage that just makes you lose.

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As someone still pretty new to crypto, your market breakdown is always a great read to understand how things actually move. It definitely helps a lot!

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El gráfico muestra el rechazo a 58k y esa recuperación sostenida con volumen, no solo la vela verde. Lo del 80% de acierto es discutible si el bottom real fue 58k y no los 48-52k que esperabas. La teoría que guardás para después del ciclo suena más interesante que el call de octubre, sobre todo si el mercado te da otro respiro antes de Q4 2029.

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It looks like it briefly went under $78k today. Sometimes, it just happens at the end, but its back over $78k. I think it's still more or less in your prediction range though.

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Binance has been hacked for 6 billion Dollars. 12 hours ago. This is the reason. Exactly the swan event I mentioned would take it lower. Got some funds on binance though

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