You'll be grateful you monitored the market.

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BTC is sitting at 64k, but a few days ago it dumped to 59k and a lot of people thought it might dump freely till it hit 48k or something, but I thought it was too soon, and since I'm speculating that we're going to bottom in early Q4, I felt we weren't going to bleed too fast and hit the 52 to 55k range, I just didn't think so, guess what?

I was right.

At 64k now, I think we've seen a price recovery from the 59k range. This price recovery isn't necessary a great thing, to me, it's a proof that the market is going to do some back and forth in price movement before finally bottoms at that 45 to 52k range.

This is what I like to call a slow bleed. In reality slow bleed is typical of a negative market: you've think the price is stable only for it to dump, recover and start dumping again. Basically it's just like a "three steps backwards, one step forward" situation.

Irrespective of a whether the BTC price is pumping or dumping, the most important thing is to look at the whether it's a bear or a bull market.

However over 90% of people don't do this. Short term prices have made people misjudge market prices, and honestly no one can escape this unless you do not even EXPECT to become financially free with crypto.

It's not like BTC will make anyone financially free anyway. The only reason we're always analyzing BTC is because it's the it's the easiest asset to analyse, so instead of predicting whether HYPE or ETH will pump (which comes with a lot of uncertainty) it's just easier to look at the chart and previous behaviors of the BTC Price movement across timelines and years and then use them to predict other less-certain assets.

However the market is changing, and 2022 to 2025 was an indication of the change and we can no longer count on other crypto (alts) to do the same price movement that we saw from 2013 to 2021.

Infact it's impossible now, and this is the reality we are currently faced with. This is also me talking from the experience of 2025. We all thought the market would do some very good pump in late 2025 as we expected, but it didn't, we expect BTC to at least do a x3 and hit 180k but it only topped at 120k.

A solid X3 investment

Not bad at all, but then it underperformed and this is the point. At the moment we can always do our analyses, the market will definitely move when we expect it to, but is it actually going to clock those numbers that we speculate? No. This is the bottom line.

The market will do what it wants, and all we can do is to just keep studying patterns, as this will help us to at least score a 70% prediction on what the market is supposed to do, or how its supposed to behave.

This is how or why I think that 2026 will be another slow bleed year for BTC, and then we stop dumping. As much as this sounds horrible, it's actually a period where people can accumulate.

64k is not a favourable price to buy BTC when you can actually wait to buy it at 52k, and probably sell at 195k in late 2028, or better still put that money in some other great assets, including our very own Hive. The whole essence of this post is to highlight that Paying attention to the market now might be worth it, even though it doesn't look like it.

These are periods that just keep paying attention, and for me, seeing BTC at 64k proved something today: I think I'm beginning to look at the whole crypto and blockchain thingy without sentiment.