Splinterlands - Review my rewards for the month of April [ENG/PT]
Hello everyone, today my post is about my rewards for the month of April for the Splinterlands game, and a brief look at the odds of card rewards
Olá a todos, hoje o meu post é sobre as minhas recompensas no mês de Abril do jogo Splinterlands, e uma breve analise sobre as probabilidades de recompensas de cartas
Chest rewards in the month of April
Currently my card power allows me to play in Silver League II, where every day I can open 3 chests and at the end of each season I can open 15 chests, in case I don't rent cards to increase my card power and be able to move up to higher leagues.
But for that you also need to have ranking points to belong to a league, in the case of Silver League II I need to have at least 1300 ranking points
Usually each season lasts an average of 15 days, and the overall ranking is reset and the score that allows you to play in the Silver League II is reduced to 700 points. With that I will move to the Bronze League I can only open 1 chest a day until I have points to move up to a higher league according to the power of my cards.
Atualmente o poder das minhas cartas me permite jogar na Liga Prata II, em que todos os dias posso abrir 3 baús e no final de cada temporada posso abrir 15 baús, no caso de não alugar cartas para aumentar o meu poder de cartas e poder subir para ligas superiores.
Mas para isso é preciso também ter pontuação de ranking para pertencer a uma liga, no caso da Liga Prata II preciso ter pelo menos 1300 pontos de ranking
Normalmente cada temporada tem a duração média de 15 dias, e o ranking geral sofre um reset e a pontuação que permite jogar na Liga Prata II passa para 700 pontos, em que com isso passo para a Liga Bronze I só podendo abrir 1 baú por dia enquanto não tiver pontos para passar para uma liga superior de acordo com o poder das minhas cartas.
Image taken from the website Splintercards.comThrough the image above we can have a brief idea of the probability of a specific type of card, remembering that these are only statistical probabilities and do not imply that they will happen according to the parameters of percentages.
Thus, according to the percentages, the probability of drawing any type of card is 50%, and the other 50% refers to credits, dec, potions or packs, depending on the league level we are in, but my analysis of this post will only be framed on the 50% of drawing cards.
Através da imagem acima podemos ter uma breve ideia da probabilidade de nos sair um tipo de carta especifico, lembrando que isto apenas são probabilidades estatisticas não implica que aconteça segundo os parametros de porcentagens.
Assim, segundo as porcentagens, a probabilidade de sair qualquer tipo de carta é 50% e os outros 50% são referentes a créditos, dec, poções ou packs, dependendo do nivel de liga em que estivermos, mas a minha analise deste post apenas se vai enquadrar sobre os 50% de sair cartas.
From the image we can see that the odds of the drop rate of Gold Cards is quite low, meaning that opening a chest is very unlikely to get a Gold Card according to the statistics.
Translating into numbers, according to the odds, on average we need 134 chests to open a Common Gold Card, while for a Rare Gold Card we need 490 chests, and if this may seem impressive the worst is yet to come.
To get an Epic Gold Card, on average we need to open 2469 chests, while a Legendary Gold Card requires 12500 chests, a very high number of chests, which shows how unlikely it is to open a chest and get out a Legendary Gold Card.
Pela imagem podemos ver que as probabilidades de taxa de queda de Cartas Gold é bastante baixa, querendo dizer que ao abrirmos um baú é muito pouco provável conseguirmos uma carta Gold segundo as estatisticas.
Traduzindo em números, de acordo com as probabilidades, em média para sair uma Carta Gold Comum é preciso abrimos 134 baús, enquanto que para uma Carta Gold Rara já são precisos 490 baús, e se isto pode parecer impressionante o pior ainda vem ai.
Para sair uma Carta Épica Gold, em média são precisos abrir 2469 baús, enquanto que uma Carta Legendária Gold são precisos 12500 baús um número bastante elevado de baús, o que mostra o quão improvável é conseguirmos abrir um baú e sair uma Carta Legendária Gold.
But attention, this is only probabilities of drop rate, and proof of this is that I in December at the end of a season when opening the chests, I won an Epic Gold Card, (When I won the Epic Gold card) and the probability of happening had to have opened on average 2469 chests, and I started playing in September last year, so I opened on average about 250 chests until the drop of the Epic Gold Card.
Mas atenção, isto são apenas probabilidades de taxa de queda, e prova disso é que eu em Dezembro no final de uma temporada ao abrir os baús, ganhei uma Carta Épica Gold, (Quando ganhei carta Épica Gold) e a probabilidade de acontecer tinha de ter aberto em média 2469 baús, e eu comecei a jogar em Setembro de ano passado, por isso abri em média uns 250 baús até a queda da Carta Épica Gold.
The image on the left side is the ratio of the cards I received in the rewards, while the image on the right side is the amount of cards I should receive according to the drop rate percentages.
Analyzing, if the drop rate of a card coming out of a chest is 50%, I opening 107 chests according to the probabilities should receive 53.5 cards. Since the cards are whole numbers the value varies between 53/54, if I received 53 cards in total, the value is within the average of the drop rate probabilities.
Regarding Regular Regular Cards I received 42 while according to the drop rate I should receive approximately 39, meaning I received 3 more cards.
For Rare Regular Cards I received 7 while according to the drop rate I should have received approximately 10, meaning that I received 3 fewer cards than assumed according to the drop rate probabilities.
For Epic Regular Cards I received 1 card, while according to the drop rate I should receive approximately 2 cards, meaning that I received 1 less card than I was supposed to according to the drop rate probabilities.
The cards are whole numbers, but the drop rate is expressed with decimals to better understand the drop rate difference at very low percentages.
According to this the other drop rate probabilities, are too far from the unit value of 1, the closest one is in the case of the Gold Common Cards, where I could have received 1 according to the drop rate, and I received 3 cards.
In total I increased the power of my cards by 825, and comparing the two tables, the reality vs probability drop rate, was not very different, being within the average values, my rewards were reasonable.
A imagem do lado esquerdo é a relação das cartas que recebi nas recompensas, enquanto que a imagem do lado direito é a quantidade de cartas que devia receber segundo as porcentagens de taxa de queda.
Analizando, se a taxa de queda de sair uma carta num baú é de 50%, eu abrindo 107 baús segundo as probabilidades devia receber 53,5 cartas. Como as cartas são números inteiros o valor varia entre 53/54, se eu recebi 53 cartas no total, o valor está dentro da média das probabilidades de taxa de queda.
Em relação às Cartas Regulares Comuns eu recebi 42 enquanto segundo a taxa de queda devia receber aproximadamente 39, querendo dizer que recebi mais 3 cartas.
Em relação às Cartas Regulares Raras eu recebi 7 enquanto segundo a taxa de queda devia receber aproximadamente 10, querendo dizer que recebi menos 3 cartas do suposto segundo as probabilidades de taxa de queda.
Em relação às Cartas Regulares Épicas eu recebi 1 carta, enquanto segundo a taxa de queda devia receber aproximadamente 2 cartas, querendo dizer que recebi menos 1 carta do suposto segundo as probabilidades de taxa de queda.
As cartas são números inteiros, mas a taxa de queda está expressa com casa decimais para se entender melhor a diferença de taxa de queda em porcentagens muito baixas.
Segundo isso as outras probabilidades de taxa de queda, estão demasiado longe do valor unitário de 1, a que se aproxima mais é no caso das Cartas Comuns Gold, em que poderia ter recebido 1 segundo a taxa de queda, e eu recebi 3 cartas.
No total eu aumentei o poder das minhas cartas em 825, e comparando as duas tabelas, a realidade vs probabilidade taxa de queda, não foi muito diferente, estando dentro dos valores médios, as minhas recompensas foram razoaveis.
From splintershare.infoNew season has begun and a new month begins, hoping that my rewards can be the same or better compared to this month and that I can keep in Silver League II or make a jump to higher leagues and increase the number of chests I can receive.
Nova temporada começou e um novo mês inicia, esperando que as minhas recompensas possam ser iguais ou melhores em relação a este mês e que consiga manter na Liga Prata II ou dar um salto para ligas superiores e aumentar o número de baús que posso receber.
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Until next time!
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Thanks for sharing! - Underlock#8573
A consistência é a melhor maneira de evoluirmos em Splinterlands, pois estaremos menos dependentes do fator sorte. Continue evoluindo!
Obrigado! Sim quanto mais evoluirmos mais baús podemos receber e aumentar a chance de receber melhores recompensas