The Auto Industry Is In Bad Shape: What This Means For The Economy

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The US auot market was down 8% in 2022. This is a bad number with total sales coming in at 13.6 million.

We usually see around17M sold.

In this video I discuss the tentacles of the auto industry and how they tend to be a bellweather on the state of the economy.


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I haven't been keeping up with things but a mindset where they won't accept any loss is bad for everyone. At some point in time, they will have to accept it because the prices can't stay as elevated as they were in the past. Just look at Carvana and how they are going out of business in the used car market.

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Summary:
In this video, Task discusses the state of the U.S. auto industry in relation to recent sales figures. He points out that while Tesla saw a significant increase in sales, most other companies experienced declines. Task highlights the growing issue of increasing time spent on car lots due to dealerships' reluctance to sell vehicles at a loss. This leads to rising 'no bids' during auctions, signaling a disconnect between dealerships and ownership groups. He emphasizes the financial implications of holding onto unsold inventory and predicts that the industry may soon face challenges, possibly due to an impending economic downturn.

Detailed Article:
The video delves into a critical analysis of the current state of the U.S. auto industry, with Taskmaster focusing on the recent sales trends and underlying issues faced by dealerships. He highlights the stark contrast in sales performance, with Tesla witnessing a substantial 40% increase while other major players like General Motors only experienced a modest 2.5% growth. Task emphasizes the significant 8% downturn in overall car sales in 2022, painting a concerning picture of the industry's health.

Task brings attention to the core problem affecting dealerships – the reluctance to discount cars or sell them at a loss. This leads to an increase in the time vehicles spend on lots, eventually resulting in auctions where 'no bids' are becoming more common. Through these observations, Task sheds light on the widening gap between those managing the lots and ownership groups, hinting at a potential crisis looming ahead.

The discussion transitions to the financial implications of prolonged inventory holding for dealerships. Task elaborates on the accumulating costs associated with maintaining unsold vehicles, such as financing charges, cleaning, and upkeep. He stresses the pivotal role of inventory turnover in sustaining the business, pointing towards the unsustainable nature of high car prices persisting indefinitely.

Furthermore, Task speculates on the industry's future outlook, forecasting potential challenges ahead. He alludes to warnings from industry experts indicating worsening conditions, hinting at a broader economic impact if the trend continues unchecked. The implication of a recession on an already ailing industry raises concerns about repercussions on employment, defaults, repossession rates, and overall financial market stability.

In conclusion, Task leaves viewers with a somber outlook for the U.S. auto industry, projecting a challenging year ahead in 2023. The narrative he presents underscores the pressing need for dealerships to address underlying issues, adapt to changing market dynamics, and brace themselves for potential economic headwinds that could further exacerbate the industry's woes.

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