Trump’s High-Stakes Bluff at Hormuz: Power, Oil, and a Deal on the Edge

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There is no outright statement by Donald Trump to say that they will take over the street of Hormuz. But he has threatened that U.S. will be allowed to impose tolls there if a final deal with Iran is not reached. The Vice President is following the talk with Iran in Negusheto, New Zealand.

The situation that surrounds United States and Iran when it comes to negotiation is real and intense. We might want to ask, what is Trump actually all about from the beginning? Trump has warned that if a final agreement with Iran is not made, U.S. is going to impose a toll on shipping through the street and nothing will be allowed to pass through. Though he has already said that U.S. policy is bent on ensuring that no one will come through the street, in the context of reopening it and ending the U.S. blockade once and for all.

There has been a preliminary U.S.-Iran agreement that lifted some sanctions and reopened the maritime trade some time ago. That gave us a 60-day window to negotiate with the nuclear power, an original issue that has been plaguing the region. The Vice President, Vance, is currently leading United States negotiations with an Iran official in Switzerland.

He is trying to make sure that there is a ceasefire and an agreement. Many of all these talks are happening because there is a backdrop of dispute over whether the street is open or not. Though the involvement of Israel and Hezbollah and so many domestic pressure in the U.S. over the human and economic costs of the conflict is eating deep into the negotiation and the negotiators.

Trump is trying to bargain and make sure that United States still has the upper hand in the whole bargaining team. There is also this deep thought that any serious move to dominate the bloc by any of these parties is going to make things much worse than it was before. And no one is ready to go back.

The cost of war is actually huge. On the part of United States, Iran has felt the brunch of the war for many days now. So everybody is getting tired little by little.

But United States is bent on making sure that there is a peace. And that peace favors the United States and make sure that Iran doesn't have a nuclear bomb in its arsenal. Because it is necessary for them to keep that at bay.

But the Iran people actually have oil. Oil is one of the leverage that Iran is using to strain the relation with Europe and Asian allies who rely on the Gulf energy flow.

Posted Using INLEO