On your marks, get set, DUMP!?

in OCD7 months ago

So tomorrow is the big day, https://hive.io/ opens its doors, and that is approximately 17 hours time.

But, when is the STEEM-HIVE, 1-1 drop?


image.png
Not financial advice!

I don't know for sure, but it will likely become fairly clear as I suspect STEEM will be sold hard into the market.

This will be mostly the speculation STEEM, as many accounts are currently part way through a 13 week power-down cycle, but there is enough of it about in Steem wallets to make quiet a splash if it heads for the exchanges.

Below are the top 200 accounts holding liquid STEEM at present. I did consider removing a couple of the exchanges, but it might be interesting to see what happens there too over the next 24 hours.

I'll run the same query tomorrow and get the total figure again for a comparison.

Any guesses on how much STEEM will remain from the 74,027,928.48 currently sitting in these accounts?

AccountSTEEMSBD
upbitsteem26306736.713499052.61
bittrex13679262.66479258.175
rap7tq6vu58ujg7587571.8210
huobi-pro3723757.31656.327
huobi-withdrawal3688799.1850.004
bithumbsend13585867.7730
user.dunamu1464980.87833217.427
hot.dunamu1194863.678190665.242
binance-hot954223.2263.732
databass525653.1710.14
my-2-cents518789.8440
korbit2506326.3910
omlakshmiom457429.4920
liujing440862.0840
muchfun427289.420.103
darthknight300972.90
hendrikdegrote300962.00595.114
blocktrades243600.9088482.381
microwave2250620.006
dele-puppy222934.5620.019
another199218.20.006
ipromote197886.797208.652
newsflash184367.719245.512
compa2180404.6410
bitvavo173566.7817.589
smooth-a170932.69658027.019
gopax-deposit168231.5441095.322
xxxxxxxxxx162143.34131.018
compa11161063.56916516.17
amcq159850.005263.989
hitbtc-exchange146086.1561222.275
patipati136480.0410.001
agentib133693.1280
shai-2131366.870
renohq111232.7920.01
sm-usd110333.667531.09
suonghuynh109103.9450.468
diahla31106980.4190.002
ctrl-alt-nwo100832.0281754.139
a93691046.57924.8
noisy90168.5460
dtube90044.8443070.314
changelly89823.8612002.471
veritassapere86192.210.517
compa881968.5310
cherrytomato281877.5490
aizensou76066.870
coinpayments.net70872.8181885.658
hr169759.5591356.841
rudex69347.976925.395
crypto198468732.1290
airbud2368360.7114.209
goku167174.5710.007
me-tarzan66299.08525758.188
tang62887.0830
msp-finance61701.681877.229
zoom59236.745.221
experty-official57540.3830.002
meow55774.3130.008
fiercedragon55240.5440
dawafisher53914.9690
lanhange52475.1380
bigbanginfinity45656.63542.995
kalvas45012.2130
wackou44953.08206.434
thevil43626.367165.742
gilead42343.730.008
harpagon42121.92.873
grandpawhale41893.1063.54
luckygamesio41266.1693065.619
mys41030.8390.297
matt-a40802.275115.51
verodato40107.44217.249
mediaguy40011.4051.252
kpd-202039135.380
richman38631.167351.91
steemmonsters37495.074301.839
oracle-d37205.090
fenghuang37102.86218.277
xiknybuc36076.80825.749
leon-fu35687.9050.008
terra35409.0310
albrite35076.170
roryswright35049.9710
fminerten33005.1931.024
leemikyung32780.513427.302
steempty31948.3211.037
kitten31711.5550.008
arhag31653.271260.85
kham201831474.60
destbest30898.320.542
qualiaspace30553.03826595.203
steempower30345.4791835.114
lakers300000.47
southorange29295.90.002
cutemachine28052.533152.579
cecil041427704.19326818.982
peakcredit27492.446351.296
theoretical27327.25512
steemslotgames-l270000
stani1230226952.960.002
gregketterman26786.6390.1
twodollars26547.87676.902
trogdor25927.30
lukewearechange25784.9064240.912
travellit25600.4270.007
plantedtank24674.0280.067
thewealthunit24184.3520.921
eeqj23809.8250
hitbtc-payout23669.0014918.264
kdj23645.565155.597
kenedy081623354.1160.002
kotori22788.3780.017
domino22692.3393.612
markimchi22497.490.002
nobody66622470.0980
coreabeforekorea22349.6252.278
danbain22076.42441.435
sagoda22001.2950.017
baja-pete21984.6790
albensilverberg21972.581369.303
monobyte21843.9830.004
action1021678.3710.002
mrosenquist21341.46314.597
onepagex21145.50765.737
lxteem20948.9580.017
sammivo20853.7862.92
gcalex20667.69215.405
benefactor20571.9140.001
sm-deck20225.497232.297
patipatipati20087.13974.49
helloplease20006.1920.002
steemit6020000.001387.019
shinebright19800.11646.8
sct.admin19781.0420
reseller19665.6940
gentibus19621.1940
deuksoo8419575.9162.328
nathan19510.1330.019
hkdev40419422.2160
davidburke19254.6490
vjanma18899.5370.001
wales18813.3310
steemslotgames-d18643.8659.479
nnnarvaez18438.7420
skradmin18320.2620.007
romedog18192.4170.011
qutritsystems17930.290.001
justtryme9017750.3140.196
grx12117746.9570
marijuana17635.5810.009
lmd7117546.4130
amosbastian17534.5071371.748
levfevzi17395.1680
eobot17331.38.03
keregnier30217330.0140
taker17193.307535.581
lukestokes.mhth17085.6710
cyonic17000.232.015
flamingirl16799.612195.025
bvba16744.7910
bhuz16596.58115000
lxcteem16354.190.009
braead6516321.7611.159
essejparr16039.8591.049
sct.kpsteem16019.9910
alpha15973.1230
nkkb15940.9690
winwinwin15621.34942.857
kraftswerk15557.05729.847
wikitree15484.064251.28
motoengineer15453.141054.226
marcelhattingh15402.8360.014
epicdice15372.9860.14
asbear15153.4147.186
dollarvigilante15063.4030
sonamoo15026.0570.299
hibriguy15003.9880.001
sunghaw14912.6190.001
clauca2314849.5610.015
mining4bacon14759.2760.157
drsteem14701.7060.006
kryptogames14680.37347.559
mohammedfelahi14673.2338.831
guyfawkes14629.043250.227
cryptonate14510.52712.426
self-power.com14479.5670
smooth-b14451.697110.656
canaca14447.390
ats-david14401.1393.231
bonface14276.28231.33
washthehogs14223.910
oroger14152.3623115.962
bitcoiner14148.8144.016
veganomics14133.6170.001
complexring14117.23625.675
upbituserwallet14075.09140
spas13933.1020.003
inceptionally13880.9620
dariodp13838.2710.002

Personally, I have very little liquid STEEM at present (sold mine way to early on this recent pump), but if I did have enough to take seriously, I know which accounts on this list I'd be watching.

Good luck all, it's going to be an interesting day tomorrow!

Cheers

Asher

Sort:  

Bites nails.

I think I will sell a little but we'll see how hard it crashes, slow powerdowns and all. If Justin does a HF with 1-day powerdown we'll have to sell quickly though :P

Do you have your trading boots on? :)

Good point re:insta powerdown, will need to keep any eye out for that one which will cause some sizable fluctuations I think!

I'm a stubborn old bastard. I won't power down before we fork, then it'll be one of my last few transactions on this chain.

Fair enough. That action could well start later today then.

A bit of a shame, but the changes bring new opportunity. I hope the Splinterlands cards are coming along too - any news on SM and S-E?

SM will stay put for now. They have an announcement on their blog.
Same for SE. It's on a separate side chain, so no movement for now

I moved some BTC into steem just for the airdrop. As soon as they take that snapshot, it's going back into btc.

Fair. Hopefully you'll be able to get it back over to BTC before any major dumps begin!

I made the trade at like $0.13, so I have some wiggle room. Hopefully I can get back out at around $0.30 though. That'd be a nice parting gift. lol

Interesting times ahead!

Sure is, looking forward to seeing how things go :)

Thanks for putting this list together @abh12345. It will be very interesting to see what it looks like in about 24 hours ...

"Any guesses on how much STEEM will remain from the 74,027,928.48 currently sitting in these accounts?"

I don't know how easy it is to change your SQL statement to get the STEEM total period and also compare that. Earlier I added 2,500 to it ...

A good idea :)

83,221,603.479 in total, the majority held in the top 10 or so accounts which does include some exchanges. I'll take a look at the totals tomorrow, with and without some 'key' accounts.

Cheers and good luck!

Great. Thank you sir!


P.S. That's 88.95% held in 200 accounts, in this "decentralized" blockchain ...👎

Well the exchanges will cover many accounts, and this is liquid, but I do see where you are going :)

As I mentioned to my friend Ash and to you @roleerob many times; decentralization is a myth. However, that doesn’t mean we won’t fight. We fight the good fight knowing the fact. Because it ain’t about the money!

Oh interesting stats ;-)
I will be back tomorrow and check the difference ;-)

Ciaoooo

Ciaooo @steemitri :)

@hivemitri manana? :D

Si señor!!!
Hivemitri, LOL!
I don't think I will rebrand :-/

Yeah, tough one indeed. Is Mr plastic fantastic moving to the Hive then? Perhaps a little bit of both?

Yes, I'm moving to HIVE...
https://steemit.com/hive/@steemitri/steemitri-the-mannequin-200th-post-on-steem-see-you-on-hive

... but I'm curious to see what will happen here on STEEM. Just read @steemitblog's last post.
You?

Yeah I'll be moving on, but undecided as yet how to play my STEEM stake. Don't think I'll post on Steem but may curate - if there is anything/anyone worth supporting.

Will check @steemitblog ...

I got myself a very tiny amount of liquid Steem. For the most part I view it being worthless once i get my Hive tokens. Anything above that is great.

Starting off at 0 value will mean you won't be disappointed I guess. I think there will be STEEM pumps from Justin, so it could be worth holding some to play with.

While that be great since I have a while to power it all down. I have a feeling it's not going go that way once he has full control and does what he wants.

Wonder if he got scared of the impending greatness of newsteem (soon to be Hive) and though I can't have a rival with all these SMT, DAO, Communities, etc going on - I must drive this coin into the ground!

Well, tough luck Sunny boy!

Let's just hope for the best 🙏

As long as you have prepared for the worst, this makes good sense to me :D

It's gonna crash hard but strangely, I think it might bounce back despite crazy Justin's censoring antics

I am buying at the top as it is going to go much higher!

Always buy at the top!!! :0D

I am buying at
The top as it is going
To go much higher!

                 - tarazkp


I'm a bot. I detect haiku.

Yeah STEEM could well become one for the traders, which should suit those who are powerdowning and out :)

I am hoping it retains some value on the way through that long 13 weeks!!

It will definitely crash after the snapshot bit here's to Justin doing some shady shift to make it pop a little so it looks unharmed whilst we sell it :0)

heh, that is the hope. Let's hope the chilli undies bring some luck!

We live in an interesting time! Thanks for the statistics!

We do indeed :)

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I wish I had Steem to sell. My 2nd Power down will only arrive on Monday... guess it will be way too late by then.
My only 'hope' is that Justin pushes through his 1 day power down.... gotta keep an eye out